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Insights / Guide

What TRIR Can’t Tell You

A Safety Leader’s Guide to What Comes Next

Your Total Recordable Incident Rate (TRIR) is accurate, it’s reportable, and it’s what insurers, clients, and leadership expect to see. But safety leaders at mature companies are noticing that TRIR looks fine but something still feels off. Every recordable in the rate has already happened, and recordables can drop while serious injury risk stays flat or grows.

This guide treats TRIR as the floor of a mature safety program and shows what gets built above it: leading indicators, Precursors to Serious Injuries and Fatalities (pSIF), and the behavioral, systems-level, and standards-based methodologies that forward-looking EHS teams are adopting in 2026. You’ll also get a practical order of operations for getting started when your team and budget are small.

Origami Risk’s EHS platform supports leading indicator programs at the point of capture, on the floor and in the field, and brings that data together so patterns across sites, shifts, and exposure types become visible. It’s the data infrastructure that pSIF and other modern methodologies depend on.

What you’ll learn:

  • The reason recordables can fall while serious injury risk stays flat or grows.
  • A method for sorting near misses by energy potential to find fatality risks.
  • Four questions that modern frameworks answer about serious injury risk.
  • A four-layer plan for building on TRIR without overhauling your safety program.
  • The approach Griffith Foods used to reduce its TRIR by 35% in a single year.

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